Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 121.893566 134.764645 148.009311 162.629069 178.286012 194.523162 212.606888
2024-10-13 102.796366 122.046925 142.863611 166.925448 193.848225 222.923176 256.572656
2024-10-20 84.915128 108.100534 134.395630 166.120396 203.046607 244.365245 293.778253
2024-10-27 71.120014 96.857632 127.398229 165.727747 211.946503 265.290097 330.893724
2024-11-03 63.062435 91.291015 126.162943 171.447549 227.705789 294.318478 378.118925
2024-11-10 55.711363 85.573749 123.909544 175.299490 240.900624 320.372159 422.363038
2024-11-17 49.888551 81.051769 122.516462 179.731650 254.560588 347.047561 467.807102
2024-11-24 45.342452 77.664456 122.125023 185.106994 269.278402 375.162888 515.501625
2024-12-01 37.876369 69.157095 113.921646 179.301768 268.862613 383.784098 538.657517
2024-12-08 32.528566 63.114719 108.534737 176.749745 272.285620 397.040807 567.627014
2024-12-15 29.020459 59.492302 106.258314 178.225328 280.948086 417.092927 605.533197
2024-12-22 26.403050 56.985465 105.368815 181.482387 291.978797 440.354351 647.919751
2024-12-29 24.778208 56.060808 106.929318 188.533202 308.772108 472.073835 702.623254
2025-01-05 22.669795 54.033417 106.582214 192.667234 321.517360 498.609646 751.024404
2025-01-12 19.749898 50.127329 102.863573 191.391066 326.310285 514.270187 785.072068
2025-01-19 17.299362 46.757906 99.716037 190.732584 331.843318 530.943835 820.685982
2025-01-26 16.227167 45.993970 100.913996 196.939954 347.671306 562.289605 876.846972
2025-02-02 14.949356 44.619004 100.905552 201.125465 360.488438 589.548031 927.746962
2025-02-09 13.892062 43.562134 101.345722 205.981001 374.353795 618.454266 981.268875
2025-02-16 13.063106 42.898880 102.428876 211.893682 389.934501 650.046594 1038.960151
2025-02-23 10.848741 38.628812 96.413946 205.461882 386.024338 653.204184 1056.602331
2025-03-02 9.309571 35.694117 92.659566 202.630618 387.554936 664.187390 1085.331339
2025-03-09 8.380811 34.156976 91.513031 204.256789 396.158413 685.677605 1129.278654